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十年之间美股的变迁

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年07月16日 22:44:39
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(那)(么)(当)(人)(们)(赚)(到)(钱)(了)(,当)(你)(用)(赚)(到)(的)(钱)(再)(去)(投)(资)(的)(时)(候)(你)(是)(不)(是)(可)(以)(承)(担)(稍)(微)(高)(一)(点)(的)(风)(险)(,比)(如)(我)(当)(年)(有)(100万)(,我)(现)(在)(已)(经)(赚)(了)(300万)(了)(,那)(我)(就)(拿)(100万)(再)(继)(续)(往)(前)(搏)(,带)(来)(的)(结)(果)(就)(是)(,如)(果)(你)(看)(现)(在)(的)(美)(国)(股)(市)(,再)(听)(听)(一)(些)(大)(师)(的)(说)(法)(,我)(们)(就)(可)(以)(看)(到)(人)(的)(确)(有)(点)(疯)(了)(。但)(是)(疯)(得)(合)(理)(不)(合)(理)(呢)(?
如)(果)(看)(行)(为)(它)(是)(非)(理)(性)(,但)(是)(它)(的)(非)(理)(性)(恰)(恰)(是)(来)(源)(于)(合)(理)(的)(预)(期)(。非)(理)(性)(的)(行)(为)(、合)(理)(的)(预)(期)(,这)(也)(是)(行)(为)(金)(融)(学)(研)(究)(的)(一)(个)(话)(题)(,包)(括)(正)(式)(让)(人)(接)(受)(这)(个)(话)(题)(的)(罗)(伯)(特)(希)(勒)(教)(授)(,不)(久)(前)(他)(说)(了)(每)(天)(我)(想)(到)(美)(国)(股)(市)(我)(就)(睡)(不)(着)(觉)(,看)(哪)(项)(指)(标)(我)(都)(觉)(得)(要)(崩)(盘)(,而)(且)(这)(个)(人)(在)(2000年)(出)(了)(他)(第)(一)(本)(书)(就)(叫)(《非)(理)(性)(繁)(荣)(》,这)(本)(书)(出)(的)(时)(候)(正)(好)(是)(当)(时)(最)(火)(的)(纳)(斯)(达)(克)(市)(场)(3个)(月)(崩)(掉)(一)(半)(,然)(后)(一)(年)(半)(的)(时)(间)(从)(突)(破)(5500点)(一)(路)(跌)(到)(1100点)(,所)(以)(这)(个)(人)(也)(一)(举)(成)(名)(2013年)(的)(了)(诺)(贝)(尔)(奖)(,他)(都)(觉)(得)(这)(市)(场)(疯)(了)(,但)(是)(我)(还)(是)(认)(为)(美)(股)(未)(见)(顶)(。
因)(为)(特)(朗)(普)(税)(改)(为)(股)(市)(注)(入)(了)(一)(个)(新)(的)(预)(期)(。特)(朗)(普)(在)(竞)(选)(的)(口)(号)(之)(一)(是)(要)(减)(税)(,我)(们)(看)(到)(他)(当)(时)(说)(了)(,现)(在)(也)(干)(了)(,而)(且)(在)(四)(个)(月)(之)(内)(我)(们)(可)(以)(预)(期)(共)(和)(党)(会)(就)(减)(税)(方)(案)(达)(成)(一)(致)(意)(见)(,那)(么)(减)(税)(方)(案)(真)(的)(就)(可)(能)(成)(为)(现)(实)(了)(。如)(果)(上)(市)(公)(司)(之)(前)(要)(交)(30%--35%的)(税)(,现)(在)(只)(交)(20%左)(右)(的)(税)(,那)(股)(市)(还)(会)(跌)(吗)(?
这)(样)(我)(们)(就)(能)(够)(理)(解)(如)(果)(你)(从)(股)(市)(的)(长)(期)(看)(,从)(6500点)(到)(现)(在)(突)(破)(了)(23000点)(这)(肯)(定)(跟)(特)(朗)(普)(没)(有)(关)(系)(,但)(是)(为)(什)(么)(很)(多)(指)(标)(都)(指)(向)(“非)(理)(性)(繁)(荣)(”,很)(多)(专)(家)(都)(预)(言)(股)(市)(要)(跌)(,为)(什)(么)(它)(不)(跌)(呢)(?是)(因)(为)(特)(朗)(普)(税)(改)(为)(股)(市)(注)(入)(了)(一)(个)(新)(的)(预)(期)(,减)(税)(直)(接)(带)(来)(的)(就)(是)(上)(市)(公)(司)(净)(利)(润)(的)(增)(长)(。今)(天)(股)(价)(的)(上)(涨)(不)(仅)(反)(映)(了)(现)(在)(公)(司)(的)(经)(营)(,更)(重)(要)(的)(是)(减)(税)(后)(上)(市)(公)(司)(的)(业)(绩)(将)(出)(现)(爆)(发)(性)(的)(上)(涨)(,所)(以)(美)(股)(未)(见)(顶)(,推)(手)(的)(确)(就)(是)(特)(朗)(普)(,就)(是)(税)(改)(。返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(
责)(任)(编)(辑)(:
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